Miami Pine Rocklands Coalition

Rising Sea Level Storm Surge Projections on Pine Rocklands

Here’s a recent study forecasting tremendous Pine Rocklands loss over the coming years from Rising Sea Levels around South Florida.

Projected Impact on Bartrams Hairstreak Butterfly is significant.


"Each parcel up for consideration seems to only evaluate a project's impact based on current existing pine rockland.  Well, the situation is going to get much worse even if zero development was to occur from now on.  See the attached graphs.  I feel this point is neglected in evaluating projects even though it is mentioned in species listings and critical habitat evaluations.  Any impacts to higher level tracts, especially to the Richmond tract will have great consequences for those who need space and connectivity in the near future.  It will literally be the life raft for hundreds of species."

"Long term, by 2100, sea level is projected to rise 31 to 81 inches above 1992 mean sea level. A document prepared for

the Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change Compact Steering Committee. That is a loss of 93.5% of existing pine

rockland in 2017 due to rising seas alone by 2100. Salt water inundation and tidal surges would lead to greater losses

of pine rockland than this projection alone."


"87.5% of the Bartram’s Hairstreak critical habitat will be lost due to sea level rise, salt water intrusion, and storm surges within the next

80-90 years. The small percentage currently left at the Richmond Tract and Camp Owaisa Bauer will be the only remaining suitable

habitat for the species to live.”


"91.6% of the Florida Leafwing critical habitat will be lost due to sea level rise, salt water intrusion, and storm surges within the next 80-90

years. The small percentage currently left at the Richmond Tract will be the only remaining suitable habitat for the species to live."

View the charts below